i believe everyone has seen the big odds that bookies offer for the draws. that’s because it’s very hard to predict if one match will finish all even. naturally, all of us sometimes have a good feeling about any match and just rate it valuable to bet our money on it. betting on draws is a risky business - you could win a lot, but you could also leave your account with "the three zeros". in this article i’m going to reveal my point of view towards the draw picking.
it is good when you have the necessary football knowledge and good instinct, but it is not always about that. you also
must have decent pre-match information and rate the teams with no grudges. let’s make an algorithm.
first and, i believe, most importantly, you must pick decent league. the best option will be a low-scoring league with evenly matched teams - for example - french ligue 2. if you can find statistics about the percentage of draws in the league, it will be superb.
in second place you should see the statistics of the two teams - which of the teams is ranked higher and what is the point difference. it is good if the home team is ranked below the away - it means that the statistically weaker team has a home advantage in comparison with the other. in this way things powers are being balanced and we can expect an even game, as the two teams will have their ambitions and confidence ahead of the clash. for example, team a has 3-3-1 record at home, while team b has 4-2-1 away record. this is one of the classic, according to me, situations for picking a draw.
you also must check how many goals the teams are scoring and conceding home and away, respectively. if there are some frustrating numbers, for example the home team has 6:16 goal difference, you better leave this game and make a conclusion after its finish, than risk your money and having a bad feeling just because of that goal difference. bet only when you feel sure and when you think than if one of the teams takes the lead, then the other could equalize. it’s too risky to rely only on a single eventual match progress.
leagues with high draw probability (according to me):
*argentina premier division and second division
*france ligue 1, ligue 2 and national
*england premier league, league two, conference
*greece premier division
*iran premier division
*italy serie b, seria c1
*morocco premier division
*portugal second division
*romania premier division
*russia premier division
*serbia premier division
*slovakia premier division
*south africa premier division
*spain second division
*switzerland premier division
*turkey second division
*venezuela premier division
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you must know that every championship has specific “traditions”. for example, in venezuela it’s generally good idea to bet on draws between much lower-placed home teams than the away ones, because the home factor is really strong there. in france you may often see a 0:0 draws; in morocco the draw is most common result this season so far and etc.
and in the end, i want to present you two strategies, where draws could be very successfully used.
fibonacci staking system
it is pretty simple here. you just need the fibonacci numbers (without the zero) – 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 134… you start with
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